A system development method in which a model is constructed and analyzed over and over again until its outcomes are accepted to be valid.
Published in Chapter:
Examining the Effects of Mucilage in the Marmara Sea on Fisheries, Tourism, and Maritime Transportation via the System Dynamics Approach
Copyright: © 2022
|Pages: 22
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-7356-3.ch005
Abstract
The Marmara Sea, which is of great importance for Turkey, has been facing a serious mucilage problem since the last quarter of 2020 due to various natural and human-induced factors. In addition to the negative effects of the observed mucilage explosion on the marine ecosystem and human health, studies in the literature emphasize the inevitability of critical negative economic consequences of mucilage, especially on the fishing, tourism, and maritime transport sectors. However, there is no study in the literature to analyze the effects of policies aimed at eliminating mucilage or preventing its re-emergence with a mathematical method. Therefore, in this chapter, a dynamic model is proposed to analyze the effects of the mucilage in the Marmara Sea on fisheries, tourism, and maritime transport. Here, the proposed conceptual and stock-flow models reflect the complex relationships among causes of mucilage, mucilage level, fisheries, tourism, and maritime transport sectors, and preventive actions.