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What is Backcasting

Encyclopedia of Organizational Knowledge, Administration, and Technology
A planning method that starts with defining a desirable future and then works backwards to identify policies and programs that will connect that specified future to the present. The fundamentals of the method were outlined by John B. Robinson from the University of Waterloo in 1990.
Published in Chapter:
Strategic Foresight Tools for Planning and Policy
Barbara Jane Holland (Brooklyn Public Library, USA (retired) & Independent Researcher, USA)
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-3473-1.ch056
Abstract
Today, companies can no longer assume that the past will be a good predictor of the future; Those that fail to prepare for radically new possibilities may face sudden irrelevance. Strategic Foresight, aka, Futures thinking, provides a structured approach enabling people and organizations to overcome cognitive biases and think more realistically about change. It helps to uncover blind spots, imagine radically different futures, and improve decision-making. Climate disruption, artificial intelligence, and automation are quickly transforming the landscape for business and sustainability. This chapter will review the Strategic Foresight tools used to embed long-term strategic thinking and planning concerning policy and strategy.
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