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What is Anthropogenic Load

Chapter 14

Forest Fire Danger Prediction Using Deterministic-Probabilistic Approach

Different human activities on forested territories lead to forest fire occurrence and characterized by presence of fire sources.

Published in Chapter:

Forest Fire Probability Prediction Taking Into Account Anthropogenic Load, Lightning Activity, and Weather Conditions

Source Title: Forest Fire Danger Prediction Using Deterministic-Probabilistic Approach

DOI: 10.4018/978-1-7998-7250-4.ch014

Abstract

A new probabilistic criterion for forest fire danger and a new methodology for determining the probability of forest fires taking into account thunderstorm activity and the level of anthropogenic load in a controlled area are considered. The results of a parametric study of the dependence of probability on meteorological conditions, thunderstorm activity, and anthropogenic load are also presented. The fire situation corresponds to the statistics of fire accidents in the territory of the Timiryazevskiy forestry of Tomsk region.

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Chapter 15