Financial Management and Market Dynamics: An Empirical Analysis of Heteroscedasticity in India's Communication Sector

Financial Management and Market Dynamics: An Empirical Analysis of Heteroscedasticity in India's Communication Sector

Copyright: © 2024 |Pages: 18
DOI: 10.4018/979-8-3693-2683-1.ch017
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Abstract

This chapter seeks to shed light on how these dynamics impact investment choices and risk management inside the industry. Taking as example the stock prices of India's major communication companies, we use a comprehensive quantitative approach involving daily closing price data from 2020 to 2023. For market trends, stock relationships and long-term equilibriums we used descriptive statics analysis, covariance and correlation testing as well the Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test; for volatility patterns of investors' behavior in various situations based on rolls over changed time periods ARMA Maximum Likelihood modelling. Using a range of econometric techniques we gain an insightful feel for the market dynamic behind this industry. Our findings show great fluctuations in stock returns, that major telecom stocks don't exist as a long-term cointegrated group, and historical data doesn't give us much to go on for investment purposes. These findings argue in favor of a more active form of risk management and also for interdisciplinary analysis to guide the process.
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1. Introduction

Financial markets are also constantly changing, the landscape being different today from that ten years ago. Heightening this variety is economic policy on one hand and market-oriented sentiment on the other (Sin et al., 2017). Among these various factors influencing this risk and return profile in any business sector is the nature of heteroscedasticity - that financial returns exhibit unequal volatility (Simamora et al., 2022). With India's communications sector presently a dynamic, fast growing part of our economy, this paper carries out an analysis based on empirical data that examines heteroscedasticity within the Indian communications realm (Bhatnagar et al., 2022). But not only is India's communications sector-- vibrant in terms of its telecommunications, broadcasting and digital communications --in itself a major contributor to the nation's GDP; it also serves as an important barometer for technological and economic progress (Bhatnagar et al., 2023). The unprecedented arrival of global technologies has led to shifting paradigms governing the investment environment, and it will play an important role in helping managers we realize more about changing market volatilities (Kustiawan & Adriyansyah, 2021). Drawing a line Aims to fill the research gap, this paper conducts an in-depth analysis of patterns and determinants for heteroscedasticity governing India's network communication returns. This paper explores the consequences of variable volatility for investment decisions, risk management strategies and policy proposals. We use high-end econometric models and data analytics techniques in our analysis of sector return data, probing for the hidden patterns within as well as identifying possible causes behind volatility. The significance of this study is that it may shed light on how the communications community can handle its finances. Grasp the forces governing market volatility, and investors as well as financial managers and policymakers may better grasp it all. In this way they can strengthen that sector's ability to withstand shocks while at the same time promoting stable growth over the long term.

Rapid technological progress, growing digitalization and conducive government policies all make for strong growth in the Indian communication sector. The Telecommunications, broadcasting and digital communications sector is the foundation on which India's economic renaissance and its technology revolution are being built (Adiatma, 2021). The mobile and Internet services sector boasts one of the world's largest user bases, and owing to its widespread adoption by users wherever smartphones take root as well as high-speed internet connectivity being extended increasingly further it is experiencing a huge rise in demand for data. The government's push for Digital India and the coming 5G era in communications are also spurring on this development. Connectivity is being widened to cover all of these, while a rich digital infrastructure will be built up across the country. In addition to investment from service providers, many other companies are investing in network expansion and the upgrading of their technology. This is particularly essential as growing market demand now requires greater levels of telecommunication. Also, the Indian communications what's more is spearheading innovation in a big way; new technologies such as Internet of things (IoT), artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud computing have all become very much intertwined with its growth story. But it is not without its problems, including regulatory uncertainty, lack of focus among firms in their core fields and large capital requirements to maintain infrastructure. Although it confronts these problems, the outlook on the sector remains optimistic: Its growth trajectory will help drive India toward becoming an important center of economic development and one of the biggest hunting grounds in global digital competitiveness.

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