ANN Model for Predicting the Natural Disaster: Data-Driven Approaches for Natural Disaster Prediction and Mitigation

ANN Model for Predicting the Natural Disaster: Data-Driven Approaches for Natural Disaster Prediction and Mitigation

Gobinath A., Rajeswari P., Anandan M., Suresh Kumar N.
Copyright: © 2024 |Pages: 19
DOI: 10.4018/979-8-3693-3362-4.ch005
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Abstract

Natural disasters have been an enduring and formidable challenge throughout human history, causing widespread devastation to communities and ecosystems. The significance of predicting these events lies in the ability to mitigate their impact on human lives, infrastructure, and the environment. Timely and accurate prediction empowers communities to take proactive measures, enabling better preparedness, response, and recovery. In the absence of such forecasting capabilities, the toll of natural disasters can be catastrophic, leading to loss of life, displacement of populations, and economic setbacks. Therefore, the development of predictive models, such as artificial neural networks (ANNs) and other data-driven approaches, is pivotal in addressing the escalating threats posed by natural disasters.
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Introduction

Natural disasters have been an enduring and formidable challenge throughout human history, causing widespread devastation to communities and ecosystems. The significance of predicting these events lies in the ability to mitigate their impact on human lives, infrastructure, and the environment. Timely and accurate prediction empowers communities to take proactive measures, enabling better preparedness, response, and recovery. In the absence of such forecasting capabilities, the toll of natural disasters can be catastrophic, leading to loss of life, displacement of populations, and economic setbacks. Therefore, the development of predictive models, such as artificial neural networks (ANNs) and other data-driven approaches, is pivotal in addressing the escalating threats posed by natural disasters (Cong, 2019).

Understanding the patterns and behaviors of natural disasters is paramount for crafting effective disaster management strategies. Predictive models allow us to anticipate the occurrence of events like hurricanes, earthquakes, floods, and wildfires, providing valuable lead time for evacuation efforts, resource allocation, and infrastructure reinforcement. By harnessing the power of data, scientists and policymakers can analyze historical trends and environmental factors to identify potential hotspots and vulnerability zones. This foresight enables the formulation of targeted policies and the implementation of measures that can significantly reduce the impact of disasters on both human and natural systems (Rem et al, 2019).

Moreover, the economic implications of natural disasters underscore the importance of prediction and preparedness (Novickis et.al 2020). The aftermath of these events often results in substantial financial losses due to damaged infrastructure, disrupted supply chains, and the costs associated with rescue and relief efforts. Predictive models contribute to risk assessment and management, allowing governments, businesses, and communities to make informed decisions about investments, land-use planning, and insurance coverage. In doing so, the economic resilience of regions prone to natural disasters can be enhanced, minimizing the long-term consequences and facilitating a more rapid recovery (Cichos et al 2020).

In addition to immediate tangible benefits, the predictive capabilities offered by advanced models like ANNs pave the way for innovation in disaster research and management. The integration of real-time data from various sources, such as satellite imagery, weather stations, and social media, enhances the accuracy and responsiveness of predictive models. This integration not only improves the precision of forecasting but also allows for adaptive strategies that can be dynamically adjusted based on evolving conditions. As technology continues to advance, the synergy between big data analytics, machine learning, and predictive modeling holds the promise of revolutionizing our approach to natural disaster prediction and management (Pham et.al, 2019).

The significance of predicting natural disasters lies in the potential to save lives, protect communities, and build resilience against the escalating threats posed by these events. Timely and accurate predictions empower societies to implement proactive measures, allocate resources efficiently, and minimize the devastating impacts of disasters. With the advent of sophisticated technologies and data-driven approaches, the field of natural disaster prediction is entering a new era of innovation, offering unprecedented opportunities to enhance our understanding, preparedness, and response to these formidable challenges (Ayyappa et.al, 2020).

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