Optimal Prediction of Bitcoin Prices Based on Deep Belief Network and Lion Algorithm with Adaptive Price Size: Optimal Prediction of Bitcoin Prices

Optimal Prediction of Bitcoin Prices Based on Deep Belief Network and Lion Algorithm with Adaptive Price Size: Optimal Prediction of Bitcoin Prices

Rajakumar B. R., Rajakumar B. R., Binu D., Binu D., Mustafizur Rahman Shaek, Mahfuzur Rahman Shaek
Copyright: © 2022 |Pages: 28
DOI: 10.4018/IJDST.296251
OnDemand:
(Individual Articles)
Available
$37.50
No Current Special Offers
TOTAL SAVINGS: $37.50

Abstract

This paper introduces a new bitcoin predictin model that includes three major phases: data collection, Feature Extraction and Prediction. The initial phase is data collection, where Bitcoin raw data are collected, from which the features are extracted in the Features Extraction phase. The feature extraction is a noteworthy mechanism for detecting the bitcoin prices on day-by-day and minute-by –minute. Such that the indexed data collected are computed regarding certain standard indicators like Average True Range (ATR), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Rate of Change (ROC). These technical indicators based features are subjected to prediction phase. As the major contribution, the prediction process is made precisely by deploying an improved DBN model, whose weights and activation function are fine-tuned using a new modified Lion Algorithm referred as Lion Algorithm with Adaptive Price Size (LAAPS). Finally, the performance of proposed work is compared and proved its superiority over other conventional models.
Article Preview
Top

1. Introduction

Recently, virtual currencies are getting well known and are utilized for money related exchanges around the world. Among the media and financial specialists, Cryptocurrencies have acquired considerable attention due to its creative attributes, straightforwardness and expanding acknowledgment (Albariqi & Winarko, 2020; Nguyen & Le, 2019; Aggarwal et al., 2020). At present, Bitcoin is likely to be the best digital money (cryptocurrency). But, due to its instability (volatility), the Bitcoin exchange rates are a bit complex to be predicted for the merchants or general clients (Akcora et al., 2018; Kurbucz, 2019). Consequently, it would be much significant to idealize a model that can clarify the behavior of the Bitcoin price in this disrupted market (Kurbucz, 2019). The blockchain technology is a prominent and latter financial technology which totally transits business transactions (Sarmah, 2020). “Bitcoin is electronic money utilizing blockchain technology”. The hash function is utilized to confirm the block data information comprising the details of the transaction are not changed and to discover the nonce incentive to get another block, just as to ensure the uprightness of exchange information during transaction of bitcoin (Park, Jet al., 2017). Moreover, the reliability of exchange details is confirmed by the encryption of the public key of the hash function of the exchange information.

The high instability in the price of bitcoin is not alone the factor that makes it a currency, yet it is an inspiration for merchants. Thus the overall population is on the look out for a solution to diminish their hazard (Giudici & Abu-Hashish, 2019; Chen et al., 2020). In this manner, the anticipation in the price direction of the assert is a reasonable issue that unequivocally impacts a broker choice to purchase or sell an instrument of speculation (Atsalakis et al., 2019; Lahmiri & Bekiros, 2020; Salisu et al., 2019; Guidi & Michienzi, 2019; Saad et al., 2020; Jay et al., 2020). The quantity of learners who study the time arrangement of Bitcoin conversion scale is expanding, however, it is moderately late. Among them, a huge count of studies attempted to recognize the characteristics or the factors that are more likely to be connected with the Bitcoin value variety (Guidi & Michienzi, 2019; Hui et al., 2020; Jay et al., 2020). Different past investigations have attempted to make forecasts for the Bitcoin exchange rate behavior (Karasu et al., 2018). Furthermore, cryptographic forms of money information are exceptionally non-direct and non-fixed in level, and in this manner, a customary time arrangement technique such as the ARIMA model isn't successful for examining the non-fixed arrangement. Regardless, the majority problem that is to be addressed develops in actualizing these models in a live exchanging structure, as there is no confirmation of stationary as present-day data is incorporated. In this way, it ought to be well known that determine cryptocurrencies’ price trend is on a very basic level different from estimating other financial assets.

The non-parametric approaches using “ML, Deep Learning, or Neural Network Explanatory” have gotten increasingly well known for the examination and assessment of budgetary time arrangement information series. The ML approaches are said to have their premise in the artificial frameworks and can address the issues of desire and arrangement utilizing learning groupings inside the data. In spite of this, In the cryptocurrencies corresponding to the non-fixed time arrangement, information can also be dealt with in the ML models. In any case, most analysts have neglected to regularly assess cryptocurrencies prices and foresee its cost in future trends. Various optimization algorithms (Rajakumar, 2014; Rajakumar, 2012; Rajakumar, 2020) https://www.tradingtechnologies.com/xtrader-help/x-study/technical-indicator-definitions/average-true-range-atr/, Access Date:2020-06-05 take its responsibility in enhancing the machine learning models. The optimization algorithms find rapid usage in many engineering problems (Zahuruddin and Rukmini, 2018). (Mohana et al., 2016; Qazi,et al., 2018; Mohana and Mary, 2017; Malhotra and Bakal, 2018). The major contribution of this research work is listed below:

Complete Article List

Search this Journal:
Reset
Volume 15: 1 Issue (2024)
Volume 14: 2 Issues (2023)
Volume 13: 8 Issues (2022)
Volume 12: 4 Issues (2021)
Volume 11: 4 Issues (2020)
Volume 10: 4 Issues (2019)
Volume 9: 4 Issues (2018)
Volume 8: 4 Issues (2017)
Volume 7: 4 Issues (2016)
Volume 6: 4 Issues (2015)
Volume 5: 4 Issues (2014)
Volume 4: 4 Issues (2013)
Volume 3: 4 Issues (2012)
Volume 2: 4 Issues (2011)
Volume 1: 4 Issues (2010)
View Complete Journal Contents Listing