EEG Forecasting With Univariate and Multivariate Time Series Using Windowing and Baseline Method

EEG Forecasting With Univariate and Multivariate Time Series Using Windowing and Baseline Method

Thara D. K., Premasudha B. G., Murthy T. V., Syed Ahmad Chan Bukhari
Copyright: © 2022 |Pages: 13
DOI: 10.4018/IJEHMC.315731
Article PDF Download
Open access articles are freely available for download

Abstract

People suffering from epilepsy disorder are very much in need for precautionary measures. The only way to provide precaution to such people is to find some methods which help them to know in advance the occurrence of seizures. Using Electroencephalogram, the authors have worked on developing a forecasting method using simple LSTM with windowing technique. The window length was set to five time steps; step by step the length was increased by 1 time step. The number of correct predictions increased with the window length. When the length reached to 20 time steps, the model gave impressive results in predicting the future EEG value. Past 20 time steps are learnt by the neural network to forecast the future EEG in two stages; in univariate method, only one attribute is used as the basis to predict the future value. In multivariate method, 42 features were used to predict the future EEG. Multivariate is more powerful and provides the prediction which is almost equal to the actual target value. In case of univariate the accuracy achieved was about 70%, whereas in case of multivariate method it was 90%.
Article Preview
Top

Introduction

For the people with epilepsy disorder, the moment the seizure occurs will be very dangerous and challenging. Nearly 1% of the population suffers from epilepsy even today. The seizure begins with a sudden unexpected storm of electrical signal in some region of the brain. The signal may be emitted in one or two regions of the brain and may also spread to other regions. This causes convulsions and loss of consciousness in case if the seizure is very severe. Such situations become very terrible for the patient and people around him to handle. This disrupts the daily activity and lifestyle of the person suffering from epilepsy. Though neurologists provide best available anti-epileptic drugs to the patients, patients continue to suffer seizure at times. The fear of unexpected seizures makes patients to consume excessive medicines and suffer side effects. Therefore, forecasting epileptic seizures is a good attempt which can improve the treatment and in turn the life of the epilepsy patients to a far extent (Brinkmann, 2015) (Javier, 2017). A precise prediction could help them to avoid risky activities, handle the anxiety levels and avoid unnecessary medications. Alternate method followed by the neurologists is to go with a surgery and remove the part of the tissue from the brain which is found to be causing seizures. Still one more method identified was to implant a neurostimulator device. These devices keep track of the electrical pulses in the nervous system and prevent the sudden emission of high energy signals. This prevents sudden unexpected seizures. But too many electrical pulses could not be controlled by the device and hence this cannot be the best solution. Therefore, it is necessary to study the electrical patterns of the seizures in the brain in order to predict them.

Many different algorithms, machine learning approaches are used so far by the researchers to perform forecasting of EEG signals (Nguyen, 2020) (Iwok, 2016) (Kulkarni, 2020). Deep learning technique: long short-term memory is a best technique for the analysis of time series data sets. Since EEG recordings are collected along with the time steps continuously, LSTM is the best method for analysis.

In this paper we perform EEG forecasting in two parts; once using univariate time series and second time using multivariate time series (Kim, 2013). In case of univariate time series forecasting, the prediction of the next time steps is performed only based on the earlier time steps of a single attribute. The response variable i.e. the target variable is influenced by only one factor (Aqsa Shakeel, 2020). Whereas, in case of multivariate time series forecasting; the prediction of the future time step value is performed based on multiple time dependent attributes (JD Peter, 2019). Each attribute will have dependency not only on the earlier time steps of its own but also on the earlier time steps of the other attributes(K J Blinowska,1991)(R. Ranjan, 2017). Thus the response variable is influenced by multiple factors. Because of this reason multivariate time series forecasting is considered to be more accurate than univariate time series.

Complete Article List

Search this Journal:
Reset
Volume 15: 1 Issue (2024)
Volume 14: 1 Issue (2023)
Volume 13: 5 Issues (2022): 4 Released, 1 Forthcoming
Volume 12: 6 Issues (2021)
Volume 11: 4 Issues (2020)
Volume 10: 4 Issues (2019)
Volume 9: 4 Issues (2018)
Volume 8: 4 Issues (2017)
Volume 7: 4 Issues (2016)
Volume 6: 4 Issues (2015)
Volume 5: 4 Issues (2014)
Volume 4: 4 Issues (2013)
Volume 3: 4 Issues (2012)
Volume 2: 4 Issues (2011)
Volume 1: 4 Issues (2010)
View Complete Journal Contents Listing