Clustering of COVID-19 Multi-Time Series-Based K-Means and PCA With Forecasting

Clustering of COVID-19 Multi-Time Series-Based K-Means and PCA With Forecasting

Sundus Naji Alaziz, Bakr Albayati, Abd al-Aziz H. El-Bagoury, Wasswa Shafik
Copyright: © 2023 |Pages: 25
DOI: 10.4018/IJDWM.317374
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Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic is one of the current universal threats to humanity. The entire world is cooperating persistently to find some ways to decrease its effect. The time series is one of the basic criteria that play a fundamental part in developing an accurate prediction model for future estimations regarding the expansion of this virus with its infective nature. The authors discuss in this paper the goals of the study, problems, definitions, and previous studies. Also they deal with the theoretical aspect of multi-time series clusters using both the K-means and the time series cluster. In the end, they apply the topics, and ARIMA is used to introduce a prototype to give specific predictions about the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic from 90 to 140 days. The modeling and prediction process is done using the available data set from the Saudi Ministry of Health for Riyadh, Jeddah, Makkah, and Dammam during the previous four months, and the model is evaluated using the Python program. Based on this proposed method, the authors address the conclusions.
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To more effectively locate the first cluster centroids, a number of methods have been suggested. In the Encyclopedia of Ecology, Craig Syms, Principal Components Analysis, its main function is to display the relative locations of data points in fewer dimensions while preserving the most significant amounts of information that can explore relationships between dependent variables. Olive (2017) used classical PCA in explaining the reduction and concentration structure with a few linear uncorrelated combinations of the original variables. He implemented PCA in data reduction and interpretation. In relation to the Walk-Random hypothesis, previously rejected in many previous studies, the current study showed a decrease in the time-series correlation at least in part of the Japanese stock market - which means that the models that Dependent on that hypothesis have become more important (Cao et al., 2015).

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